CMC discussion on late Monday system.

ERN/ATLC CAN... UPR GRTLKS SYS CONTS EWD TWD NRN NWENG BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY MAJOR WINTER STROM DVLPG OVR WALTC ON DY5. 00Z GFS AND GBL ARE A LOT SHARPER WITH ASOCTD UPR TROF THAN THE 12Z UKMET AND ECMWF. THE 00Z RUN OF THE UKMET IS NOW IS AGREEMENT WITH GFS/GBL SENARIO AND IT ALSO DVLPS A HUGE STORM. FOR NOW IS LOOKS LIKE A 10-20CM EVENT WITH RISK OF FRZG PCPN OVR SRN MRTMS. HOWEVER FURTHER ADJUSTMENTS ARE SURE TO TAKE PLACE AS SYS IS RESULT OF MERGING IMPULSES WHICH IS ALWAYS TRICKY.

Special Weather Statment for Friday

WOCN11 CWHX 300831
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NOVA SCOTIA ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT
CANADA AT 4:31 AM AST THURSDAY 30 NOVEMBER 2006.

A FRONTAL TROUGH WILL SWEEP INTO NOVA SCOTIA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE MARITIMES
FRIDAY NIGHT. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL BEGIN OVER NOVA SCOTIA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO
30 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN REGIONS BY FRIDAY
EVENING.

ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL FALL OVER ALL REGIONS INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH
COULD LEAD TO SOME RAINFALL WARNINGS BEING ISSUED. THE EXACT TRACK
AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNCERTAIN AND SOME ADJUSTMENTS
TO UPCOMING FORECASTS ARE LIKELY.

THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AS RAINFALL
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.

END/ASPC

Today was a cloudy day with some light flurries this morning and drizzle late this afternoon. Rising temperatures for tonight, cloudy tomorrow with rain on Friday before cooling off during the day on Saturday. See post below for possible snow first of the week.

Today's high current temp
Today's low -5.1*C
High barometer 103.6 kPa
Low barometer 102.9 kPa
Rainfall Tr

Current

Overcast
Temp 5.6*C
Wind SW 10 km
Barometer 102.9 kPa and falling
Humidity 88%

Weekend weather outlook and possible storm for late Monday

Today's runs of the models are similar to yesterdays so I am still going with some snow with western NB. As for NS rain with posible icing as temperature drops during the day Saturday.

The 12z run of the GFS and GEM GLB show a coastal storm off NS late Monday early Tuesday. The EURO shows the storm as well but far enough off the coast as not to have much of an effect on us. As of now looks like snow and strong winds.

A sunny but cool day today, with high temp recorded at 12:00 am. A bit warmer tomorrow then a warm front comes through on Thursday giving above average temperatures for Thursday and Friday with rain before a cold front pushes through some time on Saturday.


Today's high 4.6*C
Today's low current temp
High barometer 103.4 kPa
Low barometer 102.4 kPa
Rainfall Tr overnight

Current

Clear
Temp -1.2*C
Wind NE 5 km
Barometer 103.4 kPa
Humidity 50%

Looking at the runs of the GFS, Euro and GEM GLB from 12z Tues for 12z Sat, we see that the Euro and Can have moved further east, while the GFS has moved slightly east. If this continues there is a good chance of seeing snow in Western NB on Saturday. NWS in Maine has a good chance of snow in central and northern parts of the state.

Today was a sunny day with high cloudiness and light winds. A nice late Fall day. Cooler tomorrow before warming up Wednesday with rain Thursday and Friday.

Today's high 9.5*C
Today's low 2.5*C
High barometer 102.5 kPa
Low barometer 102.2 kPa

Current

Cloudy
Temp 6.4*C
Wind calm
Barometer 102.4 kPa
Humidity 60%

Here is the GEM GLB, issued today at 12z for Saturday at 12z. Yesterday it wasn't showing up. Same are as EURO maybe a bit further east.

Here is the EURO issued at 12z today for Saturday at 12z. It has slowed down and moved to the west since yesterday.

Click on block to view

The GFS 12z for 12z Saturday is quicker and further east than the GBL GEM and the EURO giving a chance of snow for western NB. This may have to be considered an outlier, but has remained consistant to last nights run, something the two other models haven't done.

Here is the Euro issued today at 12z for 12z next Saturday. It has the low further east than the GFS, still giving NS rain But western NB snow. Interestingly the Canadian Global shows no low at all.

The 18z run of the GFS for next Saturday morning shows the low to our west, meaning rain for us here in NS.

Clouded over early this morning and remained that way until this evening when it partly cleared. A cool breeze today had the walkers bundled up desptie it being nearly 8*C. Looks like we may see some sunny breaks tomorrow, cooler on Tuesday with a cold front passing through, slight chance of showers. Starts warming up on Wednesday, and Thursday and Friday should see the highs in the teens with showers and rain on Friday. When cold front moves through Saturday we will see falling temps but still uncertainty on timing and if rain will turn to snow. The way it looks now the answer is no. Stay tuned cause this will probably change many times.

Today's high 7.8*C
Today's low -2.6*C
High barometer 102.8 kPa
Low barometer 102.3 kPa

Current

Mostly cloudy
Temp 7.1*C
Wind W 10 km
Barometer 102.4 kPa
Humidity 71%

Today was a sunny day with light winds. A lot cooler here than out west. Heavy snowfall warning for Vancouver 20 - 30 cm, go figure. Tomorrow looks like we could be experiencing increasing clouds with highs in the mid single digits. Next week looks calm until the end when rain can be expected, Maybe some snow on the backside of system? Will have to wait and see.

Today's high 5.1*C
Today's low -2.3*C
High barometer 102.8 kPa
Low barometer 102.2 kPa

Current

A few clouds
Temp 0.2*C
Wind S 5 km
Barometer 102.8 kPa
Humidity 90%

Rain began late last night and continued until early this morning. Some clearing occurred mid afternoon with increasing north winds which gave the air a chill. EC was still calling for 30 - 40 mm in their 5 am forecast but it never happened, rain was pretty much over with by then.
Lots of cold air out west and in the NWT and Yukon. It is expected to slowly make its way east this week. Coastal storm I spoke of last night appears to be rain here in NS, but still a week and a bit a way so can't be certain yet. Weekend looks good under sunny skies and a high of 5*C tomorrow and 9*C on Sunday.\

Today's high 9.3*C (this morning)
Today's low current temp
High barometer 101.9 kPa
Low barometer 100.9 kPa
Rainfall 26 mm

Currently

Partly cloudy
Temp 2.7*C
Wind N 20 km
Barometer 101.9 kPa
Humidity 56%

GFS for Sunday Dec 3.

Mostly cloudy today with a few sunny breaks in the cloud. Rain tonight and tomorrow with up to 40 mm forecasted. I have my eye on a coastal storm for the first weekend in Dec. Could be interesting according to the GFS.

Today's high 7.5*C
Today's low -0.8*C
High barometer 103.3 kPa
Low barometer 102.5 kPa


Current

Overcast
Temp 6.8*C
Wind SE 15 km
Barometer 102.5 kPa and falling
Humidity 77%

After a sunny start to the day clouds won over and it remained that way ahead of the system which formed off the Carolinas earlier in the week. Rain is expected to begin tomorrow evening and last throughout the overnight hours. Temperature wise things will warm up and remain that way until late next week as it looks now, when a trough moves eastward across the country. There is a possibility of a coastal storm formimg as the cold and warm air clash.

Today's high 5.0*C
Today's low -3.6*C
High barometer 103.4 kPa
Low barometer 103.1 kPa

Current

Overcast
Temp 0.8*C
Wind NE 5 km
Barometer 103.2 kPa
Humidity 77%

The morning began cloudy but soon cleared off with a drop in temperature at day break, from which we recovered only slightly. We recorded our lowest daytime temperatures of the season. Today the models are hinting at some rain during the Thursday night-Friday morning period from a low pressure system off the Carolinas. It is stationary now but once the high pressure system that is influencing us moves east, we should see the system begin to move north.

Today's high 3.9*C (just after midnight)
Today's low current temp
High barometer 103.3 kPa
Low barometer 101.7 kPa

Current

A few clouds
Temp -1.6*C
Wind NW 5 km
Barometer 103.3 kPa
Humidity 64%

A cloudy day today with a few sunny breaks and a couple sprinkles of rain. No wintery weather on the horizon. Looks like it could be a week and a half before any cooler weather arrives, according to the latest models.

Today's high 7.3*C
Today's low 3.7*C
High barometer 101.5 Kpa
Low barometer 100.6 kPa

Current

Cloudy
Temp 4.4*C
Wind W 15 km
Barometer 101.5 kPa
Humidity 63%