Thursday, November 30, 2006


Today was a cloudy day with SW winds and some fog. Showers beginning tomorrow turning to rain tomorrow night, up to 35 mm forecasted. Temperatures will rise overnight Friday to 13*C Saturday morning, pretty warm for early December.

Today's high 11.9*C
Today's low 8.7*C
High barometer 102.6 kPa
Low barometer 101.5 kPa

Current

Overcast
Temp 10.8*C
Wind SW 20 km
Barometer 101.5 kPa (falling)
Humidity 90%


Weekend System update

At 12z the models were showing the low to be in or near the Bay of Fundy Saturday morning, giving NB snow and freezing rain as the temperature falls.


A look at the models from 12z today for Tuesday 00z.

The GFS GEM GLB and the EURO all show the system off NS to be out to sea a good distance. They will have to bring system closer to sure for us to get a storm out of this.
Accuweather.com take on storm.

Something To WatchUpdated: Thursday, November 30, 2006 4:03 PM
The major storm currently over the Central states is getting most of our attention right now, but here is something to watch for. The cold front trailing the storm will stall along the Southeast coast this weekend where a second storm will begin to take shape Sunday night. The path it will take on Monday is very uncertain so, instead of an exact track, we have shown a window of movement. If this disturbance comes up the coast, it will snow in New England. A track more toward the east will result in little or nothing. More on this event will follow.
Story By AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.
CMC discussion on late Monday system.

ERN/ATLC CAN... UPR GRTLKS SYS CONTS EWD TWD NRN NWENG BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY MAJOR WINTER STROM DVLPG OVR WALTC ON DY5. 00Z GFS AND GBL ARE A LOT SHARPER WITH ASOCTD UPR TROF THAN THE 12Z UKMET AND ECMWF. THE 00Z RUN OF THE UKMET IS NOW IS AGREEMENT WITH GFS/GBL SENARIO AND IT ALSO DVLPS A HUGE STORM. FOR NOW IS LOOKS LIKE A 10-20CM EVENT WITH RISK OF FRZG PCPN OVR SRN MRTMS. HOWEVER FURTHER ADJUSTMENTS ARE SURE TO TAKE PLACE AS SYS IS RESULT OF MERGING IMPULSES WHICH IS ALWAYS TRICKY.
Special Weather Statment for Friday

WOCN11 CWHX 300831
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NOVA SCOTIA ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT
CANADA AT 4:31 AM AST THURSDAY 30 NOVEMBER 2006.

A FRONTAL TROUGH WILL SWEEP INTO NOVA SCOTIA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE MARITIMES
FRIDAY NIGHT. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL BEGIN OVER NOVA SCOTIA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO
30 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN REGIONS BY FRIDAY
EVENING.

ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL FALL OVER ALL REGIONS INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH
COULD LEAD TO SOME RAINFALL WARNINGS BEING ISSUED. THE EXACT TRACK
AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNCERTAIN AND SOME ADJUSTMENTS
TO UPCOMING FORECASTS ARE LIKELY.

THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AS RAINFALL
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.

END/ASPC